Tsai Ing-wen was re-elected, who should be most grateful for? Why is Beijing’s Taiwan policy wrong again and again? What will happen to US-Taiwan relations and cross-strait relations after the presidential election in Taiwan? The VOA interview team interviewed many Americans who were watching the election in Taiwan to provide you with in-depth analysis.
The 2020 Taiwan presidential election has received high international attention. There are more than 230 foreign journalists covering Taiwan, and the International Observation Group has 13 groups with a total of more than 100 scholars and experts, with the most from the United States. British media reporters asked Tsai Ing-wen at the international press conference on the night of the balloting, if he won a record-breaking 8.17 million votes for reelection, should he thank Xi Jinping? Tsai Ing-wen smiled without answering.
However, scholars from the United States to Taiwan have given the answer.
The Taiwan Democracy Foundation held a forum in Taipei after the election to interpret the results of the election. Kharis Templeman, a project consultant for the Taiwan and Indo-Pacific region of the Hoover Institute at Stanford University, believes that Xi Jinping’s speech to Taiwan in January 2019 allowed Tsai Ing-wen, who had been sluggish in support, to find a breakthrough in the election.
Qi Kaili said: “In Xi Jinping’s so-called speech to Taiwan compatriots on January 2 last year, he only reiterated the standard position of the Chinese Communist Party on Taiwan. There was nothing new in the content, but the way this speech was packaged Taiwan’s response has been very bad. This created an opportunity for Tsai Ing-wen to respond very strongly to Xi Jinping’s speech. After that, Tsai Ing-wen’s support rate, especially among green supporters, increased significantly.”
General Robert Spalding, author of the book “Invisible Warfare,” a retired U.S. Air Force Brigadier General, and a Chinese strategy expert who was the chairman of the White House Joint Staff Council, told VOA: “Xi Jinping’s statement represents the CCP’s consistent Although Deng Xiaoping used to “hide our capacity and bide our time” before, the ultimate goal of the CCP is to unify Taiwan, and they never give up the use of force when necessary. Therefore, the CCP’s policy has never changed, and Xi Jinping has always remained the same. Xi Jinping is the CCP’s legal system. The most loyal believer in Shanghai, this is why he can become a leader, so I don’t think that Tsai Ing-wen’s victory should be attributed to Xi Jinping, I think it should be attributed to the Chinese Communist Party.”
In an exclusive interview with Voice of America, Stephen Yates, an important think tank of President Trump and deputy national security adviser to former US Vice President Cheney, analyzed why the CCP kept repeating its mistakes in its Taiwan policy.
Ye Wanghui said, “The CCP” and “the real China” have actually been at war for 70 years, but the CCP has successfully convinced the world that they are the real China! From a certain point of view, this is a power policy, not an attempt to make people like their leadership or the rational approach of their country. It is a means to build power and maintain rule.
He said: “They have been firmly convinced for the past four to fifty years that if this continues to be done, one day the Western world and international organizations will kowtow to their game of power!”
The telephone conversation between President Trump and Tsai Ing-wen in 2016 became an important milestone in US-Taiwan relations. After Tsai Ing-wen was re-elected, the two had the opportunity to talk again and became the focus of attention.
When asked whether it is possible for the two leaders of the United States and Taiwan to talk on the phone again, General Spalding said: “In this matter, I cannot predict the future. But I can say that the United States will stand firmly with Taiwan’s democracy. Together. Of course, as in the past few decades, we will deter conflicts in the Taiwan Strait. So I think there is a positive development trend in the relationship between the United States and Taiwan, and this will also promote the common prosperity of the people of Taiwan and the United States. And freedom.”
As for Tsai Ing-wen’s eight-character motto-“peace, reciprocity, democracy, and dialogue” on the night of the election, does it foreshadow the possibility of “Cai Xihui” in Tsai Ing-wen’s second term?
General Spalding said: “I think dialogue is very important because we don’t want conflicts. But this kind of dialogue will not cause the CCP to abandon their goal, which is to complete the ultimate unity in their own way. And I think The differences between the two parties cannot be reconciled.”