“Invading Taiwan, or trying to invade Taiwan, will be a very costly thing for China.”
President Tsai Ing-wen of Taiwan, who only won re-election in the general election last Saturday, gave the above answer to the question “whether Taiwan is capable of withstanding military actions” in an exclusive interview with the BBC at the Presidential Palace in Taipei on Tuesday. She said that her confirmation is that Taiwan has “quite good capabilities” to face Chinese aggression or military threats.
Regarding Tsai Ing-wen’s mention of China’s increasing threat to Taiwan, how big is the risk of war? Tsai Ing-wen said, “The possibility of war cannot be ruled out at any time. The important thing is that you must be prepared and develop self-defense capabilities.” In addition, she said that it is more important to get the support of the international community.
In the presidential election last weekend, Tsai Ing-wen won re-election with a record-breaking number of votes, but China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded that Beijing’s Taiwan policy will not change because of an election. The common view of many experts is that China may further tighten its curse on Taiwan and force the DPP government to accept its unification conditions, and military pressure will be one of the methods used by the Beijing authorities.
Regarding how to deal with China’s military intimidation, Mark Stokes, executive director of the 2049 Project Research Institute of the U.S. think tank, said in an interview with VOA that the U.S. has a role to play in this regard, that is, “readiness,” This is our number one priority.”
Shi Mingkai said, “We must ensure that we know early on that there will be military operations. This goes back to the issue of preparing for war. It is to be prepared. Part of the capability of combat readiness is to know what to pay attention to, which are signs of exceeding coercive activities, and which It’s just crossing the Taiwan Strait. The Taiwan Strait is international waters anyway, isn’t it? So basically you have to be prepared to respond quickly if there is more than just a coercive display of force.”
Shi Mingkai pointed out that in the past few years, China has increased its military activities around Taiwan. The purpose is to intimidate the people of Taiwan and force the Taiwan government to make concessions at the negotiating table.
He said: “You see more activities around Taiwan, and other things, such as electronic signals, which are basically interference. You can see other things they can do to coerce and intimidate the people of Taiwan. Beijing is right. What is Taiwan’s goal? In my opinion, their goal is to force Taiwan’s current government to make concessions. Even the Kuomintang government will take the same approach. They will still actively try to force Taiwan under conditions that are conducive to the CCP. Senior elected leaders sit at the negotiating table.”
On the second day after the election in Taiwan, the Chinese Communist Party media “Global Times” issued a editorial with the headline “Give a head-on attack to the new provocations of the Cai administration, including military pressure.”
The editorial said that it is necessary to prepare a plan for the “new provocative actions” of the Tsai Ing-wen authorities, “including the use of military pressure options that are unbearable to the Tsai authorities, and to allow Tsai Ing-wen and the DPP to work in the relatively peaceful Taiwan Strait situation and the ground Make a choice between shaking.”
In an interview with the BBC, Tsai Ing-wen said that her government has always adopted a non-provocative attitude, “because we don’t want to be a provocative party, it will make the situation worse, or give the other party an excuse to take any of them. The action we want to take. So we have been pursuing this non-provocative approach. To a certain extent, we are quite gentle in responding to and viewing their provocative actions.”